Avis Budget Exposes the Trade Behind CAR’s Collapse

The post-earnings reaction to Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) looks anti-climactic compared to the preceding collapse in the stock from an epic short squeeze. Now the stock is stuck perfectly between 50DMA resistance and 200DMA support.

The Avis Budget Collapse In its earnings report last week, Avis Budget Group, Inc (CAR) shined a spotlight on how the trading activity of Pentwater Capital impacted CAR’s share price. During the conference call, the company described how Pentwater created a massive short squeeze. More importantly, the company called attention to Pentwater’s selling. The hedge … Read more

A Bullish Market With A Bearish Tint – The Market Breadth

bullish market with bearish tint - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Last week was action-packed. Earnings dominated my focus, and the resulting trading action confirmed why it was important to ignore the bearish signals from market breadth last week. The market is as bullish as ever this year at the index level, even though market breadth still stains the … Read more

Claude for Creative Work Didn’t Tank ADBE, ADSK – PAIROS Explains Why

PAIROS - open hand

Anthropic seems to have a policy of producing a steady onslaught of significant product releases. On April 28th, the AI platform and software company released a set of connectors for integrating Claude, Anthropic’s coding and agentic platform, with software tools for creatives. In “Claude for Creative Work” Anthropic explains how these connectors expand the possibilities … Read more

The Bearish Signal I Want to Dismiss – The Market Breadth

A Bearish Signal I Want to Dismiss - The Market Breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Last week was bullish, and yet the bearish signal that bothered me early in the year returned. Market breadth flashed bearish even as the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ broke out to all-time highs. This bearish divergence is exactly the setup I did not want to see. The … Read more

PAIROS Confirms Rovo’s Importance for Contrarian Buy In Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)

PAIROS - open hand

Earlier this month I launched PAIROS, the Panic AI Research On Software, to provide a structured approaching for assessing the (contrarian) investment thesis in software companies heavily impacted by the SaaSpocalypse. I ran a real-time test of PAIROS on Anthropic’s Mythos and developed a rationale for buying into Palo Alto Networks (PANW). So far, so … Read more