Stock Market Bottoms Ahead of the Worst Jobs News In A Crisis

Purists in the financial markets often decry the “voodoo” of technical analysis. The U.S. jobs report for May, 2020 is an extreme version of how the fundamentals can also fail to provide sufficient guidance for trading and investing in financial markets. Economists and other sooth-sayers in consensus expected the U.S. economy to lose 8.3 million … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Stretching Past A Hurting Country – Above the 40 (May 29, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 25.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 27.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (changed from neutral) Stock Market Commentary It feels surreal to write about the latest machinations … Read more

Overbought Holding Pattern for the Stock Market – Above the 40 (May 22, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 73.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 20.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market had a promising start with a large gap up to … Read more

How to Protect Gains After Surviving A Stock Market Sell-Off

The stock market crash in March was stomach-churning and generated a lot of panic. At its lowest point, the S&P 500 (SPY) was down 33.9% from its all-time high set just the previous month. The rebound from that stock market sell-off has been heroic with a 32.1% gain taking the index within another 14.6% rally … Read more

Stock Market Breaks Out to Overbought Territory Yet Again – Above the 40 (May 18, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 75.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first oversold day)AT200 = 18.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 29.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Buyers followed through on the building momentum from the previous two trading days which drew a line … Read more