ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Since the year 2000, delivering a different narrative for students and fans of financial markets: stocks, options, currencies, Bitcoin, and more…
Why Sell In May? “Sell in May” is an old stock market adage that advises investors to sell in May and leave the stock market alone until November. According to Investopedia, the adage identifies May through October as a period of under-performance. The adage survives despite its persistently poor performance as a stand-alone strategy. For … Read more
This blog takes a particular interest in studying and learning from stock market extremes. This year, 2020, is full of stock market extremes with the summer and the first day of post-summer trading delivering their own extremes. Summer vs Post-Summer Performances and Stock Market Extremes Measuring summer as the first trading day of June to … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 6, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) 1965 to 1967 1969 to 1971 1981 to 1984 1998 to 2000 2010 to 2012 Since 1950, these are the ONLY years where the S&P 500 (SPY) finished the month of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Average, median, frequency, and context. These are all measures to take into consideration when assessing the odds of an event and its potential impact. It is something almost always lost in … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
Another May and another horror show for the stock market. Excluding today’s oversold bounce currently underway, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down 5.7% for the month. The index was down as much as 7.1% last week. The chart below shows that these numbers are extreme even for a month that causes so much fear and … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is that time of year again when traders try to predict whether this year’s summer cycle will compel them to dump stocks in May only to return in the Fall. … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 32% VIX Status: 18.8% … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 55% VIX Status: 15.7% … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Now that May, 2011 has closed down 1.4%, it seems like a good time to take yet another perspective on May’s legendary selling. This time I wondered whether May’s performance says anything about trading for … Read more