Bearish Indices and Bullish Reopen Stocks Create Abrupt Rotation – Above the 40 (November 9, 2020)

AT200 (T2107) surged 10 percentage points to close near a 3-year high and a breakout above the post financial crisis downtrend.

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 67.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (high of 75.1%) AT200 = 63.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 25.8 (as low as 22.4) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary … Read more

The Stock Market Voted to Rally After October Swoon – Above the 40 (November 6, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 52.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 24.9 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Based on AP results, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris declared victory in the U.S. Presidential … Read more

A Time to Retreat to Neutral on the Stock Market – Above the 40 (November 4, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 48.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 29.6. (a plunge of 16.8%) Short-term Trading Call: neutral (downgrade from cautiously bullish) Stock Market Commentary At the time of writing, the U.S. … Read more

A Stock Market Almost Oversold On Broad-Based 50DMA Breakdowns

AT40 (T2108) gapped down from 40% and closed at 25.3%.

The week started with key support at the 50-day moving average (DMA) giving way for the S&P 500 (SPY). The meltdown started into a crescendo today with 50DMA breakdowns across indices. The selling was swift enough to drive my favorite technical indicator close to oversold levels. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their … Read more

Stock Market Support Melts Away, Delays Launch to Higher Prices – Above the 40 (October 26, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 32.5 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market looked like it was warming up from a period of cooling … Read more

A Stock Market Warming Up from A Period of Cooling – Above the 40 (October 23, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 59.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 27.6 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market cooling continued all of last week. After a sharp one-day pullback … Read more

A Stock Market Cooling – Above the 40 (October 16, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.4 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market made a bullish move last week as financials broke out, but I noted … Read more

Stock Bulls Add A Piece of the Puzzle, Challenges Remain

Stock Market Commentary In my last post, I concluded that the stock market rebound made the market look “stronger than before.” Today’s big rally went beyond the call of duty. The S&P 500 (SPY) and NASDAQ (COMPQX) showed off their increased strength by closing well above their respective upper Bollinger Bands (BBs). While its gain … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Stronger Than Before – Above the 40 (October 9, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 61.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.0 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Without recognizing the bullish divergence that ended the previous week, last week’s trading dynamic of a … Read more

An Indicator of Stock Market Breadth Nears An Important Milestone

The stock market convincingly followed through on last week’s bullish divergence that indicated strengthening stock market breadth. At the time of the bullish divergence, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), powered higher even as the S&P 500 (SPY) lost 1.0%. The index also suffered a 50DMA breakdown. … Read more