T2108 Update (November 20, 2013) – A Divergence Into Quasi-Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Turns Bullish As Earnings Approach

In previous Apple chart reviews and updates, I have noted the apparent influence of the open interest put/call ratio on the overall bull/bear tone of Apple (AAPL). When the stock last bottomed – between September 16th and 17th – the open interest put/call ratio dropped to a level last seen since, you guessed it, AAPL’s … Read more

A Very Bearish Breakdown for Apple

Yikes. Today was a particularly ugly day for Apple (AAPL) fans and bulls. The stock followed through on weakness from last week’s product event with a MAJOR bearish breakdown below critical support at the 50 and 200-day moving averages (DMAs). This also takes AAPL below its “Icahn support.” (Nightly Business Report blamed news of a … Read more

T2108 Update (September 16, 2013) – A Fresh Surge Tainted By A Fade

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more

Icahn Secures Apple’s Bottom

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 14, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) For a little over three months I have made the case for an Apple (AAPL) bottom (see for example “An Apple Bottom As Sentiment Finally Turns Southward (Put Buying Soars)” and/or … Read more

T2108 Update (August 7, 2013) – Waning Momentum

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (August 2, 2013) – Fresh Breakout And Still Not Yet Overbought

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (July 31, 2013) – Potential Consolidation As the S&P 500 Waits Out Growing Negatives

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

ATM: The Apple Trading Model Formalized

I finally took some time to further formalize the Apple Trading Model (ATM). To-date, I have described this in extensive detail showing Apple’s (AAPL) daily trading patterns and post-earnings trading patterns. I took these lessons (updated periodically in other posts) and created a very simple dataset as a foundation for running a regression tree (a … Read more

T2108 Update (July 26, 2013) – Still Not Overbought Yet

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more