An Important Correction to the Apple Trading Model

In early April, 2015, I simplified my Apple Trading Model (ATM). I examined the historical data to determine whether Apple’s (AAPL) open contained all the information needed to trade the stock on the day. I had an “ah ha” moment when I discovered that AAPL tended to trade in the same direction of its open. … Read more

The Apple Pre-Earnings Trade: October, 2015 Edition – An Important Juncture

At the timing of writing, Apple (AAPL) is up 0.6% for the year, essentially flat. When I last wrote about the Apple pre-earnings trade back in January, I looked back at the December 1, 2014 “flash dip” in AAPL’s stock as a lingering harbinger of more selling to come. As it turned out, AAPL sold … Read more

T2108 Update (April 6, 2015) – Bulls Pressing At the Border Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Apple Trading Model Simplified

The refinement of the Apple Trading Model (ATM) continues. Seven months ago, I re-explained the Apple Trading Model to provide a consistent reference point. In recent weeks, I have stumbled upon a great simplification that I am almost embarrassed to admit completely escaped me all this time: the probability that Apple (AAPL) closes in the … Read more

Apple Trading Model – Post-Watch Technical Update

Apple (APPL) has officially announced the launch of its latest product, the iWatch. Source: Yahoo! Finance Source: Apple.com This makes a great juncture to provide a quick technical update on Apple and update the classification trees for the Apple Trading Model (ATM). For those of you who are new to the ATM, please read up … Read more

T2108 Update (January 28, 2015) – No Central Bank Salve This Time

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (December 1, 2014) – From Topping To Chopping and An Apple “Flash Dip”

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (November 18, 2014) – Onward and Upward

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Apple Trading Model (Re)Explained

The Apple Trading Model (ATM) has become one of my favorite trading tools. I am writing this post to serve as a clear and comprehensive reference point when I write about it in future posts. Interested traders should bookmark this page. (As of writing, my last major AAPL post was another sentiment analysis that ended … Read more