Chasing the Outperformance of Home Builders

outperformance (Credit: Dr. Duru at the Charles Shultz Museum)

I assumed the seasonal trade on home builders came to an end some time in May. However, the tailwinds lifting builders higher remain as strong as ever. This strength and outperformance has confused and confounded those assuming higher interest rates would mean disaster for the housing market and an eventual recession. A recent upgrade for … Read more

Bulls Win Big: Overbought Conditions Return – The Market Breadth

bulls win big (Credit: BULLFIGHT, SOMETIMES THE BULL WINS by David Winnie from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary The bulls win big. The summer of loving stocks continued with the bulls overcoming a major hurdle: the overbought threshold for market breadth. After two failed attempts in the last month, the third attempt became the charm. The charm received a strong endorsement from fresh breakouts by the S&P 500 and the … Read more

A Looming Collision Between Overbought Trading and the Fed – The Market Breadth

collision (Credit: Collision Course by charlieishere@btinternet.com on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Market breadth almost reached overbought trading territory last week. The Federal Reserve is issuing yet another missive on monetary policy this coming Wednesday. The market’s script is arranged for the potential drama of a collision between the euphoria of overbought trading and a Federal Reserve that is eager to moderate the market … Read more

Running With Picks and Shovels in the Generative AI Race

picks and shovels (Credit: Shovel or Shovel? You Pick by Linda, Fortuna future on Flickr)

NVIDIA Races Ahead Money manager Cathie Wood of ARK Invest is known for being unconventional by making concentrated bets on highly speculative companies, what Wood calls betting on innovation that solves problems. So of course Wood has AI-related bets in the various ARK funds. The ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF (ARKQ) in particular holds … Read more

Project Calm from the Feds Bounces Stocks Away from Oversold – The Market Breadth

calm

Stock Market Commentary: The Feds delivered on Sunday as Janet Yellen promised. The FDIC, the Treasury, and the Federal Reserve joined forces to offer emergency financial backing and reassurances for the banking system, a kind of “Project Calm” to project calm. The Federal Reserve even came up with a new acronym that looks like a … Read more