Forex Critical: The Turkish lira Fever Is Finally Breaking

Three months ago, I worried that the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) was moving too late to hike interest rates. The Turkish lira (USD/TRY) is now finally working its way lower from those levels as the Turkish lira fever breaks. The path to today’s near 4-month low was fraught with wild volatility, … Read more

A Refresher for Extended Overbought Conditions in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (December 28, 2020)

Stock Market Commentary The stock market quickly moved away from its close call with overbought conditions to pulling off a refresher for extended overbought conditions. The acquiescence of President Trump in signing a heavily negotiated, highly contentious pandemic relief bill seemed to provide the spark for the buying in the major indices. The Stock Market … Read more

Alibaba Stock: How to Trade Technicals from Anti-Monopoly Fallout

U.S. traders and investors often but into or at least largely ignore news of anti-trust actions against publicly traded companies. Alibaba Group Holdings (BABA) was not as fortunate at least for today. Alibaba stock plunged as much as 17.5% before closing with a 13.3% loss in the wake of news that the State Administration for … Read more

A Close Call for Trading In the Extended Overbought Stock Market – Above the 40 (December 22, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) opened the day right on top of the 70% threshold for overbought conditions.

Stock Market Commentary The U.S. stock market quickly rebounded from the weekend’s jolt of pandemic news from Europe. The initial bout of selling created a close call for the extended overbought period. The comeback of buying picked the stock market off the threshold for overbought conditions but a sustained survival remains unsettled. While buyers convincingly … Read more

An Extended Overbought Rally Moves Into Historic Territory (Above the 40) – December 18, 2020

Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve signaled an incremental improvement in its economic outlook by making an allowance for limited stock repurchases and dividends by the country’s top financial institutions. As a result, bank stocks apparently soared in after hours trading. That fresh rally in financials should extend to a positive open on Monday and … Read more