Overdue Relief Rally Stretches Markets Toward Key Resistance – The Market Breadth

Credit: Great Stretching by ianhun2009 (Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Even sellers in a bear market exhaust themselves at some point. That point happened to coincide with the latest product announcements from Apple Inc (AAPL). So once again, AAPL finds itself sitting right at the focal point of an important market juncture. Across the major indices, the day’s relief rally generated a … Read more

Fades Confirmed Bear Market Resistance and Gravity’s Call – The Market Breadth

bear market resistance (credit: ellyn on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The recession that Wall Street wants remains elusive according to the August jobs report. The data show the labor participation rate increased with job growth and a minimal increase in the unemployment rate: a recipe for the (mythical?) economic soft landing. The reaction in the stock market reflected the duality in interpreting … Read more

A Sunny Mid-Summer Assessment of the ARK Bottom

sunny field by Kol Tregaskes

The conditions for bottoming in the ARK funds started to diverge a bit in late June. While the bottoming patterns differed, the ARK bottom synchronized with the general market’s bottom. Those conditions were born from the deeply oversold conditions that arrived in June. At that time, I interpreted the turmoil as the early days of … Read more

Resolution After A One-Day Overbought Period – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market took one more day to get resolution on the technical signals flashing from market breadth. A drop from overbought conditions triggered a bearish market signal. Failures at important resistance from the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and IWM each reinforced the bearish signal. However, the relatively mild trading action and … Read more

Overbought Without Resolution – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) gapped higher into overbought territory and held on despite a fade into the close.

Stock Market Commentary: The suspense at the overbought threshold ended without resolution. In a surprising, and even bizarre, display of performance divergence, small caps led the way higher while the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ ended the day flat. Moreover, IWM and the NASDAQ faded from important resistance at their bear market lines. Additionally, the … Read more