Speculating On Innovation ETFs Versus Big Cap Tech: ARKK vs IPO vs QQQ

speculate (Credit: Booby Stare-Down by Scott Ableman on Flickr)

This year has been a surprisingly good year for speculating. The race to the end of 2023 looked like it priced in a lot of good news, but the good news (in price action) continues apace year-to-date. Thus, I decided to take a fresh look at last year’s claim: “Renaissance IPO ETF A Less Volatile … Read more

Beyond Believable, Beyond Meat

Is Beyond Meat THE Speculative Trade for the New Year

Sometimes it pays to be stubborn. In December, I asked whether Beyond Meat (BYND) would be the speculative trade of the new year. I presented a simple thesis that managed to work out. However, the path from A to B was totally unexpected, and I broke rules along the way. In response to earnings, BYND … Read more

How to Use ChatGPT to Test Theories on Stock Prices

Percentage of days IWM experiences a gain based on the combined performance of QQQ and IWM (February 12, 2019 to February 8, 2024)

I have a good friend that comes up with interesting theories about relationships in the stock market. Recently, he claimed that “more often than not”, on a day where the big cap stocks gain and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) does not gain, IWM will experience a daily gain on the next trading day. … Read more

Opera Drama: Major Investor Sweetens Music for Dour Investors

opera drama (Credit: Italian Opera Buffet at the Pan Pacific Vancouver by ppacificvancouver on Flickr)

Last Friday’s 29% plunge in Opera Limited (OPRA) seized the attention of the company and its “cornerstone shareholder” Kunlun Tech Limited. With the swiftness of a crisis management team, the two combined to sing a sweeter tune for investors. In a follow-up SEC filing, Opera Limited clarified that last week’s announced shelf filing simply replaces … Read more

What Happened When I Asked ChatGPT About Commercial Real Estate

commercial real estate

ChatGPT Speaks I continue to find interesting and valuable ways to use ChatGPT. After listening to a segment on CNBC’s Fast Money that wrangled over the risks in commercial real estate, I decided to ask ChatGPT a topical question: “What publicly traded commercial real estate REITs struggled the most during the great financial crisis?” I … Read more

The Latest Lap On the Generative AI Trade

AI race (Credit: Fuyoh! on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The trade on Generative AI took a surprising turn last week as investors and traders rushed to related names as if they offered safety from the banking Panic of 2023. Some stocks shot straight up for the week. The renewed interest surprised me because I just happened to write about this trade … Read more

Bears Convert Picture-Perfect Resistance Into Major Breakdowns – The Market Breadth

major breakdown (Credit: ms4jah on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Unlike the prior week, last week was all about the fundamentals, and the fundamentals made a huge difference. After failing to break through picture-perfect resistance levels, especially the 20-day moving averages (DMAs) (the dotted lines in the charts below), the indices were left vulnerable to selling pressure. The pressure started with Federal … Read more

A Sprint Trade on the Race in Generative AI

AI race (Credit: Fuyoh! on Flickr)

The race is on in generative AI (artificial intelligence). Chat GPT introduced this natural language algorithm to a mass audience in November, 2022, and we love it so far. With a market proof at hand, companies are rolling out commercialization efforts. These conversational knowledge engines will find their way into more and more products and … Read more