Soft Economic News Sparks Late New Year’s Cheer – The Market Breadth

new years cheer (Credit: Happy New Year! Cheers! by włodi from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: It took a mixed jobs report and soft economic data to spark late New Year’s cheer in the stock market. The December jobs report refreshed the message of a strong labor market whose unemployment rate has stayed between 3.5% and 3.7% the entire time the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates. Yet, … Read more

A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve – The Market Breadth

path of least resistance (Credit: The path of least resistance by Eduardo Mueses on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Yesterday’s surge in the Japanese yen (FXY) may have exhausted enough sellers to clear the path for some holiday cheer in the stock market. Suddenly, the market seemed to transition from the heavy burdens of a stubbornly hawkish Fed to the alluring hopes from a lack of (scheduled) negative catalysts for the … Read more

A Reluctant Return to Overbought Trading Conditions – The Market Breadth

reluctant (Credit: Reluctant Goose by judy_and_ed on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The holiday-shortened week brought a reluctant return to overbought trading conditions. Buyers nudged the indices higher inch by inch after Monday’s slightly down open. The Fed-speak that returned the stock market to bearish trading conditions faded out of view. Looking ahead, the promise of seasonal strength once again beckons reluctant buyers. If … Read more

From Distraught to Overbought In A Flash – The Market Breadth

distraught to overbought (Credit: Shopping cart at Weis by SchuminWeb from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The latest cryptocurrency scandal and implosion distracted the market (and me) from the upside potential of the October CPI (Consumer Price Index) report. Likely contagion, real and psychological, from crashing crypto prices helped drive distraught trading that created technical breakdowns across the major indices. U.S. midterm elections on Tuesday also apparently failed … Read more

Post-Fed Confusion: To Rally or Not to Rally – The Market Breadth

confusion (credit: Confused Yet? by Random Retail on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The latest jobs report came on the heels of another post-Fed downer. The U.S. added 261,000 jobs but the unemployment rate ticked up from 3.6% to 3.7%. At the open, the market seemed to celebrate the potential implications for looser monetary policy despite the microscopic change in the unemployment rate. China delivered … Read more