An Extended Overbought Rally Moves Into Historic Territory (Above the 40) – December 18, 2020

Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve signaled an incremental improvement in its economic outlook by making an allowance for limited stock repurchases and dividends by the country’s top financial institutions. As a result, bank stocks apparently soared in after hours trading. That fresh rally in financials should extend to a positive open on Monday and … Read more

Key Overbought Threshold for the Stock Market In Time for the Holidays – Above the 40 (December 11, 2020)

Stock Market Commentary A week ago, the stock market stretched into an extended overbought rally. The stock market proceeded to relax from that stretch. Yet, the breadth indicators barely budged and allowed the overbought rally to reach a key overbought threshold and test of the extended overbought rally. The overbought period reached 20 days in … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Stretching for a Fresh Rally – Above the 40 (November 27, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 79.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #10 overbought) AT200 = 76.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and holding breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 20.8 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Instead of Monday, … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Bang and a Whimper – Above the 40 (November 20, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 76.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #6 overbought) AT200 = 71.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and holding breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 23.7 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market … Read more

Overbought Trading Resumes With Fresh Momentum for the Reopen Trade – Above the 40 (November 13, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #1 overbought, 3 of last 4 days ooverbought) AT200 = 68.1%% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and holding breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 23.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral … Read more

Overbought Trading Conditions Emerge from Rush for Pandemic Recovery Stocks – Above the 40 (November 10, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 71.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #1 overbought) AT200 = 66.9%% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and confirmed breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 24.8 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The week of … Read more

The Stock Market Voted to Rally After October Swoon – Above the 40 (November 6, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 52.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 24.9 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Based on AP results, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris declared victory in the U.S. Presidential … Read more

A Gathering Storm of Confirmed 50DMA Breakdowns Fail to Trigger Oversold Signal – Above the 40 (October 30, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 26.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 44.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 38.0 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary A little over a week ago, the stock market looked poised to launch higher … Read more

A Stock Market Almost Oversold On Broad-Based 50DMA Breakdowns

AT40 (T2108) gapped down from 40% and closed at 25.3%.

The week started with key support at the 50-day moving average (DMA) giving way for the S&P 500 (SPY). The meltdown started into a crescendo today with 50DMA breakdowns across indices. The selling was swift enough to drive my favorite technical indicator close to oversold levels. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their … Read more

Stock Market Support Melts Away, Delays Launch to Higher Prices – Above the 40 (October 26, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 32.5 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market looked like it was warming up from a period of cooling … Read more