ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
At the time of writing Apple (AAPL) is down 1.6% in sympathy with a poor reaction to Microsoft’s (MSFT) that included warnings about the impact of the strong U.S. dollar (UUP). The drop has formed a bearish “abandoned baby top” kind of technical pattern just as the stock has dropped below the 50-day moving average … Read more
I first identified a potential bottom in Whole Foods Market (WFM) back in July. The following month I became even more convinced of a bottom after a rumor of Carl Icahn’s involvement allowed me to sell another round of call options at a nice profit. After that trade, I made another swing trade with shares … Read more
My favorite part of earnings season is typically the Apple (AAPL) earnings call. Apple’s earnings attracts out-sized amount of attention, and it is a time when I get to recalibrate my trading models. My apologies to regular readers who were expecting a more timely update of the pre-earnings trading model for AAPL. I simply ran … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Campbell Soup (CPB) experienced a nasty tumble following its November earnings report, I took a look at the stock as a potential buy for a post-earnings recovery. After reviewing the … Read more
Everywhere I read or watched coverage of Amazon.com’s earnings announcement, the theme was “are investors fed up with Amazon.com’s constant spending and lack of profits???” I have never understood why investors are willing to cut Amazon.com (AMZN) so much slack, but it is a resilience that should be held in awe…and traded. Over the past … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
It is earnings time for Apple (AAPL). Expectations are undoubtedly high after April’s huge post-earnings surge – the 8.2% one-day gain is, since 2007, second only to the 8.9% gain in April, 2012. The subsequent run-up certainly has me thinking AAPL has confirmed my expectations for eventual all-time highs. It is now time to temper … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 9, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Way back on December 24, 2012, I wrote “Reasons To Bet On A 2013 Recovery For Skullcandy.” In less than two weeks, I had to write a near apologetic follow-up after … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This quote is from a piece I wrote in early March titled “Apple’s Post-Earnings Buyback Fails To Sway Growing Negative Sentiment In The Stock.” At that time, I was wringing … Read more