A Stock Market Hunkered Down After Green Shoots Slam Into New Downtrend – Above the 40 (April 3, 2020)

AT40 = 4.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (28th oversold day)AT200 = 5.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 46.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary First, another dose of hope and a light reminder of the seriousness of … Read more

A Stock Market Pivot Around Overbought As Indices Fail At Highs – Above the 40 (September 20, 2019)

AT40 = 69.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 56.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (13-month high)VIX = 15.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary A Broken Record Last week had some big moments. Looking back, the week looks like a broken record. The Federal Reserve … Read more

The Apple Pre-Earnings Trade: January, 2015 Edition – Soaring Optimism

At the time of writing Apple (AAPL) is down 1.6% in sympathy with a poor reaction to Microsoft’s (MSFT) that included warnings about the impact of the strong U.S. dollar (UUP). The drop has formed a bearish “abandoned baby top” kind of technical pattern just as the stock has dropped below the 50-day moving average … Read more

Valuations On High-Flying Internet-Related Stocks Continue to Race Upward

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) This post rides piggyback on a recent Seeking Alpha Market Current quoting concerns from Art Cashin (formerly featured on CNBC) regarding “a bubble in cloud/mobile tech names” and is a follow-up … Read more

Apple Breaks Down But Reasons to Expect Future Upside Remain

The 200-day moving average (DMA) has been Apple’s friend since the stock bounced from its March, 2009 lows. A break during June, 2011 was short-lived and the stock survived two more tests of this critical long-term support later that year. Starting in January of this year, Apple (AAPL) pulled sharply away from its 200DMA until … Read more