A Downward Drift Broke Overbought Conditions in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (February 18, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary The new low in volatility that appeared to breathe new life and promise to the overbought period fizzled out. The major indices experienced a downward drift, and the general market struggled to hold onto overbought conditions. The trading drift finally broke below the overbought threshold. The Stock Market Indices The S&P 500 … Read more

Stocks Hold A Tenuous Grip On Overbought Trading Conditions – Above the 40 (January 15, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary A liquidity-driven bounce off support took a small breather last week. The major stock market indices ended the week with a small loss. On the way there, overbought trading conditions ended for a day. As the major indices languished, the stock market dipped in and out of overbought conditions on an intraday … Read more

Weakening Overbought Conditions Greet the New Year – Above the 40 (December 31, 2020)

Stock Market Commentary The extended overbought period still looks tenuous. For the second trading day in a row, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), broke down below the overbought threshold of 70% before closing at 73.0%. The major indices do not reveal these weakening overbought conditions. The … Read more

Crypto Tests At All-Time Highs: Bitcoin Sentiment and Ethereum Uptrend

Bitcoin Sentiment Riding High The Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC) is staring down another test with Bitcoin (BTC/USD). A run-up in Google search interest in Bitcoin accompanied the run-up of Bitcoin to all-time highs. Google search interest is a proxy for sentiment. Accordingly, Bitcoin sentiment is running at extremes relative to recent levels. Per the … Read more

The British Pound Attempts to Break Quarantine

The British pound has experienced a lot of fireworks this month, but the currency remains in an uptrend against the U.S. dollar (GBP/USD). I stayed focused on this uptrend when I insisted on trading contrary to the screaming headlines about the UK getting the quarantine treatment from the rest of Europe. The rebound unfolded a … Read more