Chart Review: Starbucks At A Very Critical Juncture

On July 23, Starbucks (SBUX) tested its 200-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since last October. This support held as the general stock market rallied into the close. This level also happened to coincide with SBUX’s breakout in March as SBUX moved on to fresh all-time highs. Source: FreeStockCharts.com If SBUX fails to … Read more

T2108 Update (July 23, 2012) – Overbought Period Ends But June Uptrend Holds

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 59.9% (ends last overbought … Read more

Chart Review: Intel and Cisco Pullback From Critical Resistance

The NASDAQ has churned mightily in an uptrend that is slowly but surely grinding upward from the June lows. Support at the 200DMA held in June and now the technology-laden index is working on holding support at the 50DMA. Embedded in this churning action are lots of chills and thrills. Two big cap tech stocks … Read more

A Bottom for Netflix Is Not Confirmed Until Its Next Earnings Report

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the past, I have only had bearish things to say about Netflix (for example, “Netflix Tags the $110 Target But More Downside To Come” from September 30, 2011). However, I … Read more

T2108 Update (July 13, 2012) – A Fresh Overbought Cycle As S&P 500 Bounces Off 50DMA Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 74.1% (1st overbought day … Read more

Swiss Franc Refuses To Confirm Fresh Euro-Optimism

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Thursday, June 28th, Swiss National Bank (SNB) vice chairman Jean-Pierre Danthine repeated a claim made consistently by the SNB: at 1.20 the Swiss franc is overvalued relative to the euro. … Read more

The Dollar’s Tumble Accompanies A Host of Critical Currency and Commodity Trades

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Thanks largely to the surging euro, the U.S. dollar index (UUP) took one of its nastiest one-day tumbles since last October, falling 1.3%. I believe this drop all but confirms staunch … Read more

T2108 Update (June 25, 2012) – Follow-Through Selling

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 33.4% VIX Status: 20.4 … Read more

Chart Review: A Cautious Eye on Cyclicals – Materials and Industrials

Cyclical stocks continue to worry me even as the S&P 500 treads water. Charts across a wide swath of related stocks show inabilities to break critical resistance and in some cases, are outright breaking down. Here are several representative charts along with brief commentary. The Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) and the Industrial Select Sector … Read more

T2108 Update (June 1, 2012) – Oversold Again; What To Expect Going Forward

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 18.6% (Day #1 of … Read more