ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
I moderated my bullishness on the Australian dollar in early December because Australia’s terms of trade have likely peaked for now and the Reserve Bank of Australia had lowered rates twice. Last week, I recharged my bullishness on the Australian dollar after the Federal Reserve extended its dovish monetary policy. The Australian dollar experienced a … Read more
The current extended overbought period has produced many amazing chart patterns. In this chart review, I am highlighting some charts I find particularly interesting and compelling. There are impressive recoveries, stocks dancing with critical resistance, and emerging breakouts. Some charts are quite telling in that they completely contradict the presumed economic disaster from an imminent … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 70% (overbought day #2) … Read more
In my T2108 Update on October 5, I asked whether the last bear market would really last just one day (so far, so good!). In that post, I noted that Wynn Resorts Limited (WYNN) had suffered an important breakdown and concluded: “This breakdown swiftly moves WYNN from the bullish camp into the bearish camp. On … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 53% VIX Status: 31 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary The bullish vibes continue in the stock … Read more
Many technology stocks have rebounded sharply off their August lows. Stocks like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) have even managed to register fresh all-time highs in the past week. On the other hand, Google (GOOG) has gone nowhere in about two years and now faces overhead resistance yet again. In today’s trading, GOOG was turned … Read more
July has continued a healthy recovering from the June lows for many stocks. However, some stocks have remained stuck in stock market purgatory. Today’s chart review shows two examples of this dichotomy. The extra bonus is that the stock in recovery mode, Caterpillar (CAT), has apparently topped while the stock stuck in purgatory, LDK Solar … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Silver failed at its 50-day moving average (DMA) resistance in spectacular fashion. Silver dropped 9% and gave up almost its entire gain from the previous three-day relief rally. Source: stockcharts.com As I mentioned in my previous … Read more
A week ago I used F5 Networks (FFIV) as a model to suggest that Finisar (FNSR) and JDS Uniphase (JDSU) showed some promise to bounce from critical support levels. I drew out the specific price points at which buys made sense and included some stops. The promise quickly led to a letdown as both FNSR … Read more