FANG Without A Bite: A Market With A Bullish Divergence and Still Not Oversold – Above the 40 (June 3, 2019)

AT40 = 24.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 37.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 18.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary “The stock market might turn at lower levels.” Jim Cramer, CNBC’s Mad Money, June 3, 2019 This truism is a bit silly, … Read more

Forex Critical: The “Safety Trade” Drives the Swiss Franc Near A 2-Year Milestone

While the volatility index (VIX) is only reluctantly responding to the latest turmoil in financial markets, other safety trades are moving in full steam. The “safety trade” I left out of my last post covering the stock market was the Swiss franc (FXF). At the time of writing the Swiss franc fell to a near … Read more

Stock Market Indices Break South On Expanded Border Tensions – Above the 40 (May 31, 2019)

AT40 = 23.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (hit a low of 20.7%)AT200 = 36.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2 1/2 month low)VIX = 18.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary So much for the potential for follow-through on bullish divergence! Perhaps the failure is … Read more

Forex Critical – Turkish Lira Gains Fresh Strength on Central Bank and Political Moves

On May 10th, the Turkish lira finally sprung back to life after USD/TRY hit a 7-month high. The move came right on the heels of another move by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) to adjust its reserve requirements in a way to support the currency: “Considering the latest developments in financial … Read more

Oversold Conditions Loom As Indices Conveniently Test 200DMA Supports – Above the 40 (May 29, 2019)

AT40 = 25.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 39.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 17.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40DMAs, broke through 30% and closed at 25.2%. My favorite technical indicator is … Read more