A Confident Calm in the Stock Market – The Market Breadth

a confident calm in the stock market

Stock Market Commentary The stock market transitioned from a nervous calm to a confident calm. The NASDAQ and S&P 500 hit fresh all-time highs faster than I could have expected during the depths of the tariff drama, trauma, and noise. Nvidia (NVDA) led the way with a mid-week breakout to all-time highs. The market’s confident calm … Read more

Tariff Crash Trading Plan: Chaos Edition – The Market Breadth

tariff crash trading plan - chaos edition

Stock Market Commentary The stock market fell into chaos all over again as the U.S. retaliated against China’s tariff retaliation, hiking tariffs up to 104%. This escalation halted a rally that started as solid follow-through from the bullish engulfing bottom from the previous trading day. The whipsaw action underscored the fragility of technical setups in … Read more

A Bear Market Ends – The Market Breadth

The bear market ends for the S&P 500 (SPY) as it gapped higher and cleared major resistance from an area of agitation, closing just below key Election Day resistance.

Stock Market Commentary And so a bear market ends, for the S&P 500 at least. The stock market enjoyed a strong follow-through day supported by previous oversold conditions. To represent the most recent technical developments, I created a well-defined area for the bear market called the “area of agitation”. The S&P 500’s breakout above this … Read more

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth (Credit: Matti Mattila on Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/65448940@N00/3054240654)

Stock Market Commentary Investopedia defines the Santa Rally very precisely: “A Santa Claus rally refers to the sustained increases found in the stock market during the last five trading days of December through the first two trading days of January.” Based on this definition, Santa is failing…and just as the stock market risks a January … Read more

Trump Flips the Post-Election Script, The Fed’s Got Next – The Market Breadth

Trump Flips the Post-Election Script, The Fed’s Got Next – The Market Breadth (credit: https://members.asicentral.com/news/strategy/october-2024/what-i-voted-stickers-look-like-across-the-us-this-election/)

Stock Market Commentary Financial markets are supposed to act like discounting mechanisms which use the wisdom of the crowd to anticipate important events. The stock market stalled and then broke down ahead of the election. Excluding a last minute rush to buy on election day, I assumed the stock market might have a muted reaction … Read more