Buyers Fight Off AI Bubble Fears With A Partial Rescue from Breakdowns – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) broke down to a 7-month low and churned throughout most of the week.

Stock Market Commentary Media coverage of bubble talk in AI has become increasingly urgent and loud in recent months. Legendary short seller Michael Burry seemed to ring the clarion call when news dropped on Tuesday (November 4) about a massive bearish bet against NVIDIA (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). NVDA fell 4.0% that day. The downward … Read more

Still On Breadth’s Edge of A Breakdown – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) closed at 41.4%, holding barely above its prior low, showing short-term market breadth remained fragile at breadth's edge.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market started the week in familiar melt-up mode, supported by a (temporary) thaw in the economic war between the U.S. and China. Optimism persisted until the Federal Reserve weighed in with its latest announcement on monetary policy, when Chair Jerome Powell balked at the idea of a December rate cut. … Read more

The Next Market Melt-Up: Big Winners and Sorry Stragglers – The Market Breadth

next market melt-up - big winners and sorry stragglers

Stock Market Commentary The protracted shutdown of the U.S. Federal government has dragged past three weeks and Federal workers have now missed their first paychecks of this battle. The stock market rallied to an all-time high when the shutdown started, and it certainly seems to care even less after recovering from a 1-day mini panic … Read more

Market Breadth Remains Broken: The Final Convulsions Before the Stock Market’s Next Melt-Up?

market breadth remains broken - the final convulsions before the stock market's next melt-up

Stock Market Commentary Last week’s trading had something for almost everyone: volatility, churn, recovery, and a bank scare. A familiar story about renewed U.S.–China trade tensions expanded into a larger mosaic of market stress and resilience. Still, given market breadth remains broken, I see a market skating on the edge. The volatility index (VIX) summarizes … Read more

A Market Melt-Up Alongside A Government Melt-Down – The Market Breadth

a market melt-up alongside a government melt-down

Stock Market Commentary We now have a stock market melt-up alongside a government melt-down…and financial markets could not care less. In fact, the stock market can hardly get more bullish with the long-term, mid-term, and short-term uptrends each flashing green and pointing upward. Still, I cannot help checking my peripheral vision for signs of caution. … Read more