Above the 40 (November 30, 2018) – Market Sentiment Quickly Transforms: Enter the “Cramer Bottom”

AT40 = 44.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 30.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just above a 32-month low) VIX = 18.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Last week was a week where the stock market seemed to force its way into the endzone … Read more

Above the 40 (November 12, 2018) – First the Brakes, Now the Body Blow: Technical Damage Spreads

AT40 = 35.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 31.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 20.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary via GIPHY The bears took back complete control of the market. Friday, they sent up the warning signal with the screeching of … Read more

Above the 40 (November 9, 2018) – No Time for Comfort As Brakes Screech On the Oversold Bounce

AT40 = 35.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 34.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Hold up. Pump the brakes. The bounce from oversold conditions just got more difficult as sellers forced buyers to come to a … Read more

Above the 40 (September 21, 2018) – A Suspect Breakout for the S&P 500

AT40 = 52.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.8 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market is not quite out the (short-term) woods yet. Last Wednesday I pointed out why the latest bearish divergence forced … Read more

Above the 40 (August 24, 2018) – S&P 500 Historic All-Time High Shines Cautious Light On Opportunities

AT40 = 60.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.0 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Last week the stock market made history by delivering the longest bull market in history. Tonight on Nightly Business Report, markets are … Read more

Above the 40 (August 17, 2018) – Another Picture-Perfect Rebound Ends Stretched Conditions

AT40 = 55.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.6 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The recovery from the February swoon has been full of nearly predictable bounces: whether it was oversold trading conditions or support at … Read more

Internet Stock Valuations: Facebook Extends Its Lead

I have waited almost a year to update my data on the valuations of internet-related stocks. The last time I turned the crank on the numbers I documented Facebook’s (FB) ascendency in the valuation ranks. I also guessed that the age of double-digit price-to-sales ratios was coming to an end with the potential exception of … Read more

Valuations for Internet Stocks Disrupted by Second Quarter 2015 Earnings

Almost a month before the latest earnings cycle, I chronicled the ascendancy of Facebook (FB) to the top valuation spot among the internet stocks I follow. Twitter (TWTR) lost the top spot thanks to a large post-earnings sell-off in April. Fast forward to the latest earnings cycle and internet-companies delivered even more disruptions. Rising above … Read more

Implications of Current Internet Valuations As Facebook Takes Over the Top Spot

One big headline on Tuesday, June 23rd featured Facebook (FB) racing past Walmart (WMT) in market capitalization for the first time ever. The following day, FB gained further ground on WMT as the two stocks continued to motor in opposite directions: FB has set new all-time highs two days in a row while WMT hovers … Read more

The Federal Reserve Uses Small-Cap, Social Media Stocks to Display Vigilance on Valuations

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 16, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On July 15th, the Federal Reserve released its latest Monetary Policy Report as a part of Chair Janet Yellen’s testimony before the Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. The … Read more