Cracks Widening in the Stock Market – The Market Breadth

cracks widening in the stock market - the market breadth

Stock Market Commentary I am seeing more and more cracks widening in the stock market, and I am getting increasingly concerned. I am trying to stay bullish because the seasonally strong period has started for the stock market. However, after such a strong August, strong September, and strong October, each of which is historically one … Read more

Still On Breadth’s Edge of A Breakdown – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) closed at 41.4%, holding barely above its prior low, showing short-term market breadth remained fragile at breadth's edge.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market started the week in familiar melt-up mode, supported by a (temporary) thaw in the economic war between the U.S. and China. Optimism persisted until the Federal Reserve weighed in with its latest announcement on monetary policy, when Chair Jerome Powell balked at the idea of a December rate cut. … Read more

Market Breadth Remains Broken: The Final Convulsions Before the Stock Market’s Next Melt-Up?

market breadth remains broken - the final convulsions before the stock market's next melt-up

Stock Market Commentary Last week’s trading had something for almost everyone: volatility, churn, recovery, and a bank scare. A familiar story about renewed U.S.–China trade tensions expanded into a larger mosaic of market stress and resilience. Still, given market breadth remains broken, I see a market skating on the edge. The volatility index (VIX) summarizes … Read more

A Month of Melt-Up Vanished In One Day of Tariff Anguish – The Market Breadth

a month of melt-up vanished in one day of tariff anguish

Stock Market Commentary China and the U.S. have an unstable relationship. Each country needs the other and yet they cannot co-exist peacefully in the global economic or political sphere, especially when nativist flames and security alarms are burning brightly. That lingering instability came to prominence one more time after trade negotiations broke down (yet again) … Read more

A Market Melt-Up Alongside A Government Melt-Down – The Market Breadth

a market melt-up alongside a government melt-down

Stock Market Commentary We now have a stock market melt-up alongside a government melt-down…and financial markets could not care less. In fact, the stock market can hardly get more bullish with the long-term, mid-term, and short-term uptrends each flashing green and pointing upward. Still, I cannot help checking my peripheral vision for signs of caution. … Read more