A Tired AI Trade Weighs on Market Breadth Breakout – The Market Breadth

a tired ai trade weights on a market breadth breakout - the market breadth

Stock Market Analysis Summary The market initially welcomed the Fed’s rate cut, but rising long-term yields recreated the same headwinds seen after the October rate cut. A tired AI trade emerged as Oracle, Broadcom, NVIDIA, and semiconductors sold off sharply, pressuring market breadth. Major indices showed signs of topping despite prior strength, especially the NASDAQ … Read more

Market Breadth Remains Broken: The Final Convulsions Before the Stock Market’s Next Melt-Up?

market breadth remains broken - the final convulsions before the stock market's next melt-up

Stock Market Commentary Last week’s trading had something for almost everyone: volatility, churn, recovery, and a bank scare. A familiar story about renewed U.S.–China trade tensions expanded into a larger mosaic of market stress and resilience. Still, given market breadth remains broken, I see a market skating on the edge. The volatility index (VIX) summarizes … Read more

Support Holds Firm Ahead of Holiday Week – The Market Breadth

Support Holds Firm Ahead of Holiday Week – The Market Breadth (Credit: David Kingham, https://www.flickr.com/photos/31583394@N04/8406338206)

Stock Market Commentary Imagine that. Key support holds firm across the major indices. A telling post-election reversal turned into proof positive that unrelenting bulls remain all-in for the stock market. Not even a further escalation in World War 3 brought pause to the rebounds off support (Russia fired an intermediate-range ballistic missile into Ukraine and … Read more

Post-Election Reversal Tests Support After Confirming Bearish Signal – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) roundtripped to its post-election open, converging with the October high and 20DMA support.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market has a natural law of “physics.” Overly enthusiastic trading, whether up or down, eventually meets an opposite and sometimes equal force. This natural instability of extremes forms a basis of my market breadth trading rules. The enthusiastic post-election surge exhausted buyers enough to create a post-election reversal. Moreover, my … Read more

Yet Another Bearish Engulfing Day – The Market Breadth

yet another bearish engulfing day

Stock Market Commentary Yet another bearish engulfing day. Will THIS one matter to the stock market? In the following video, I review the converging bearish signals just days after all-time highs from the S&P 500 defied October’s warnings. (A summarized transcript follows the video – cleaning and editing help from ChatGPT) Summarized Transcript Introduction Hello … Read more