A DeepSeek Dive and A Tariff Toll – The Market Breadth

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) failed to recover from its DeepSeek dive, barely clinging to 200DMA support.

Stock Market Commentary A DeepSeek dive stole the headlines from the Federal Reserve. At the same time, tariff headlines refused to go away. Assuming you have already gotten your fill of DeepSeek headlines, I will just summarize the drama by saying a Chinese start-up has apparently completely up-ended the economics of the AI universe. DeepSeek’s … Read more

Oversold Enough Confirmed With All-Time High Redux – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) continued to rise after its recent 50DMA breakout, managing to set a new all-time high.

Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I concluded that the stock market had reached “oversold enough” trading conditions. Last week confirmed an oversold low as market breadth rapidly broadened and supported an all-time high redux for the S&P 500. Yet, this revival comes with important caveats. Uncertainty looms over the Federal Reserve’s next moves even … Read more

Post-Election Euphoria Fizzling with Oversold In Sight – The Market Breadth

Post-Election Euphoria Fizzling with Oversold In Sight - The Market Breadth (credit: mariotto52 https://www.flickr.com/photos/31502604@N00/80170060)

Stock Market Commentary Writing about financial markets always feels surreal when tragedy and disaster dominate the news headlines. My cognitive dissonance gets particularly poignant when the stock market does not reflect the scale and scope of events. As massive fires rage in Los Angeles causing to-date $135B to $150B in economic losses and loss of … Read more

From Euphoria to Oversold In A Day? – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) plunged to its 5th lowest close of the year on a test of the intraday low from August. Will AT50 finally achieve official oversold conditions this year?

Stock Market Commentary If you followed December’s deterioration in market breadth and/or paid attention to the inflation numbers and the smoke signals from the Federal Reserve, today’s market sell-off does not surprise you. What surprises me at the time of writing is the complete collapse in market breadth. The stock market essentially plunged from euphoria … Read more

Trump Flips the Post-Election Script, The Fed’s Got Next – The Market Breadth

Trump Flips the Post-Election Script, The Fed’s Got Next – The Market Breadth (credit: https://members.asicentral.com/news/strategy/october-2024/what-i-voted-stickers-look-like-across-the-us-this-election/)

Stock Market Commentary Financial markets are supposed to act like discounting mechanisms which use the wisdom of the crowd to anticipate important events. The stock market stalled and then broke down ahead of the election. Excluding a last minute rush to buy on election day, I assumed the stock market might have a muted reaction … Read more