Stock Market Stalls At Overbought Threshold As Momentum Stocks Retreat – Above the 40 (September 13, 2019)

AT40 (T2108) has stalled perfectly at the overbought threshold of 70%.

AT40 = 67.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (13-month high)VIX = 13.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Overbought Overrules Times like these remind me of the significance of the overbought line. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks … Read more

Small Caps Answer the Call: Overbought Trading Conditions Now Approach – Above the 40 (September 10, 2019)

The iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund ETF (IWM) has surged through 200 and 50DMA resistance in a high-volume breakout move.

AT40 = 62.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (finished reversing all of August’s decline)VIX = 15.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Role reversal While the S&P 500 (SPY) and the NASDAQ (COMPQX) continue to fail at confirming … Read more

The 401K Stock Market Loses Some Faith As Divergence Flips – Above the 40 (August 27, 2019)

AT40 (T2108) closed below Friday's precipitous low, making my favorite technical indicator look finally ready to drop to oversold trading conditions.

AT40 = 28.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 39.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2-month low)VIX = 20.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral (from cautiously bullish) Stock Market Commentary The 401K stock market’s ugly sandwich just got a bit soggy. My premise for clinging to a … Read more

The 401K Stock Market Chokes On A Powell and Trade War Sandwich – Above the 40 (August 23, 2019)

AT40 = 28.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 39.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2-month low)VIX = 19.9Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (see caveats below) Stock Market Commentary Presidential Decrees “Q    Six hundred and twenty-three points — that’s what the Dow was down today … Read more

The 401K Stock Market Holds Support At the August Extreme – Above the 40 (August 16, 2019)

AT40 = 33.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 43.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2-month low)VIX = 18.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (from neutral) Stock Market Commentary The extreme of August held as support…just barely. Sneaky Resilience The S&P 500 (SPY) gapped up 1.4% … Read more

Christmas In August Fails to Prevent A Test of the Month’s Extremes – Above the 40 (August 14, 2019)

The S&P 500 (SPY) printed a marginally new low for the month after a 2.9% loss.

AT40 = 26.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 40.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2-month low)VIX = 22.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral (caveats below!) Stock Market Commentary When the S&P 500 (SPY) bounced away from the oversold threshold last week, it left behind an extreme … Read more

A Stock Market Floating Precariously – Above the 40 (May 24, 2019)

AT40 = 34.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 43.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 15.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Bearish resistance won the trading battle the previous week. Last week, sellers did their best to follow-through. It was a week of chop … Read more

Above the 40 (May 9, 2019) – A Coordinated Yet Precarious Stock Market Dance Around Key Trendlines

AT40 = 45.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 48.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 19.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary President Trump carried through on his threat to increase tariffs on China while at the same time tantalizing markets with fresh hope over … Read more

Above the 40 (May 3, 2019) – A Faithful Stock Market Push Through Bearish Divergence

AT40 = 63.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 55.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 12.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market is keeping the faith. The previous week ended with a U.S. GDP report for Q1 2019 that represented well the … Read more

Above the 40 (April 12, 2019) – A Stock Market With New Highs In Sight Along the Border of Overbought Conditions

AT40 = 65.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 53.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 12.0Short-term Trading Call: bearish (caveats below!) Stock Market Commentary A security guard slipped and clipped the heels of Tiger Woods at the Masters this weekend. The tripping of Woods was … Read more