Above the 40 (December 19, 2018) – A Fed Undeterred Is A Stock Market Not Yet Low Enough

AT40 = 9.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #4)AT200 = 14.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 34-month low)VIX = 25.6 (no change!)Short-term Trading Call: bullish (caveats below!) Commentary On Tuesday night, basketball great LeBron James, now of the Los Angeles Lakers, experienced an … Read more

Above the 40 (December 17, 2018) – A Deeply Oversold Market No Longer Expects Rate Hikes in 2019

AT40 = 10.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #2)AT200 = 15.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 34-month low)VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish (caveats below!) CommentaryThe week started as I expected based on the technical setup on Friday that I discussed in the … Read more

Above the 40 (December 14, 2018) – A Bear-Burdened Stock Market Dropped to Oversold and Passed A Trade-Positive Tweet

AT40 = 19.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (1st day oversold)AT200 = 20.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (34-month low)VIX = 21.6Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish CommentaryThe stock market is oversold again as a bearish divergence to start the week came to its “logical conclusion.” AT40 (T2108), … Read more

Above the 40 (December 10, 2018) – A Bearish Divergence Clouds Encouraging Bounce Away from Oversold

AT40 = 23.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (low of 18.9%)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 32-month low)VIX = 22.6 (as high as 25.9)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish CommentaryIt was a wild day in the stock market, but the market still avoided closing … Read more

Above the 40 (December 7, 2018) – Right Back Where the Stock Market Started, But Worse

AT40 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just off a 32-month low)VIX = 23.2 (as high as 24.7)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish CommentaryI am surprised the stock market has yet to close in oversold conditions. AT40 (T2108), the … Read more