One Eye On Higher Interest Rates As Strong Housing Data Continue

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 4, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Long-term interest rates are moving higher. Although it can be difficult to interpret the meaning of interest rate movements given the Federal Reserve is an active player in manipulating rates, I … Read more

With A Rate Decision Looming, Weakening Australian Dollar Sends Poor Signal for Stocks

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 1, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) While all eyes are trained on U.S. economic data this week, Australians are looking ahead to Monday, February 4th when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) makes its next statement on … Read more

T2108 Update (January 2, 2013) – Like 2012, 2013 Begins Overbought But Trading Implications Are More Complex This Time

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (December 4, 2012) – Resistance Holds As Volatility Manages A Rare 3-Day Rise

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (November 15, 2012) – Another Oversold Day, VIX Remains Subdued

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (November 7, 2012) – Stocks Break Down As the Dollar Takes the Sidelines

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Recent Examples of Intraday Relationship Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500

In “How To Estimate Intraday Moves For The S&P 500 Using The Australian Dollar“, I quantified the relationship between the Australian dollar and the S&P 500 on an intraday basis. However, I did not provide any charts demonstrating the relationships. The chart below tracks the intraday relationships between SPY as a proxy for the S&P … Read more

How To Estimate Intraday Moves For The S&P 500 Using The Australian Dollar

In numerous posts I have described the intriguingly consistent and profitable relationship between the Australian dollar (FXA) and the S&P 500 (for example, see “A Hypothesis for the Connection Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500“). In recent weeks, I have also noticed periodic patterns in the way the Australian dollar trades versus the … Read more

T2108 Update (May 17, 2012) – Oversold and Looking UGLY Ahead of Facebook IPO

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 18.9% (Oversold day #1, … Read more

S&P500 Performance By Day of Week and The Changing Nature of Trading Tuesdays

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 7, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After the S&P 500 (SPY) dropped as much as 0.4% on Monday, April 30, 2012, I decided to take a shot at trading what seemed to be the double whammy of … Read more