ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary Welcome to the start of the stock market’s three most dangerous months of the year. A weak jobs report for July helped to send market sentiment into a sharp reversal. The bad economic news suddenly turned the prospect of rate cuts into something to fear. These rate cut fears spun the market … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Can a bullish divergence create a bottom for stocks? The stock market ended last week with an emphatic “YES!” A wild week got treacherous after Thursday’s META pricequake. Investors rushed for the exits after Meta Platforms (META) reported earnings. The sympathy selling went far and wide. Fortunately, earnings from Alphabet (GOOG) and … Read more
Stock Market Commentary I earlier wrote about a forlorn stock market writing a love note to the Federal Reserve. This love note comes in the form of a basket of sell-offs. The selling is so broad and so deep that traders could throw a dart and find descriptive stock charts. The examples below are some … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The strong start to September which characterized the persistent complacency in the stock market soon gave way to the kind of selling that characterizes one of the most dangerous months of the year. September came to a bearish end with a 4.8% loss on the month for the S&P 500. The index … Read more
Two weeks ago, I expressed caution over Spotify Technology (SPOT) in the wake of sellers fading an extremely bullish upgrade from an analyst at KeyBanc. That upgrade to overweight from sector weight included a $340 price target. The contrary and surprising trading action right after the analyst call was telling. A week after KeyBanc, an … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market continued its streak of trickiness. Buyers and sellers played a fierce bear-bull battle starting with one of the biggest fake-out one-day rallies since last September 2nd’s near parabolic run-up. Fresh money flowed into funds to start the month of March to for gains of 2.4% on the S&P 500 … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The Presidential inauguration is a hallowed American tradition. The stock market celebrated the incoming Biden and Harris administration with new all-time highs on good trading volume. The start of a new American administration is as good a time as any to back down from my recent short-term bearish call. While this overbought … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The U.S. stock market quickly rebounded from the weekend’s jolt of pandemic news from Europe. The initial bout of selling created a close call for the extended overbought period. The comeback of buying picked the stock market off the threshold for overbought conditions but a sustained survival remains unsettled. While buyers convincingly … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first overbought day, 17 of last 19 trading days overbought)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 36.1 (down 11.5%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary In the last Above the 40 … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 68.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ending 2 days overbought)AT200 = 12.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 37.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve’s last statement on monetary policy may go down as the short-term peak in … Read more