Stock Market Churn Continues As Volatility Resumes Its Decline – Above the 40 (April 24, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 45.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 12.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 35.9Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Last week started on an ominous note with more historic plunges in oil prices. The stock market managed … Read more

Stock Market’s New Bear/Bull Battle Lines – Above the 40 (April 22, 2020)

AT40 = 33.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 11.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 42.0Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Crash culture started this week with an astonishing collapse in oil prices. The stock market held on admirably, especially tech stocks. … Read more

Cocoa: A Bear Market in Prices Brings Fresh Opportunity

Cocoa prices have plunged along with the pandemic-driven crash in global financial markets. The iPath Bloomberg Cocoa Subindex Total Return ETN (NIB) reached a closing peak on February 13th just ahead of the global pandemic crisis. Since then, NIB is down 23.8%, a bear market in cocoa. Per my buy-the-dip strategy in NIB, this is … Read more

A Stock Market Hunkered Down After Green Shoots Slam Into New Downtrend – Above the 40 (April 3, 2020)

AT40 = 4.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (28th oversold day)AT200 = 5.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 46.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary First, another dose of hope and a light reminder of the seriousness of … Read more

An Ugly Weekly Gain for An Extremely Oversold Stock Market – Above the 40 (March 6, 2020)

AT40 = 9.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (8th oversold day)AT200 = 23.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 41.9Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The Shake and Bake bottom barely held as support last week. It was a week of dramatic ups and downs … Read more