ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 52% VIX Status: 18.3 … Read more
After failing to to topple over the 1.56 level over the past week, the British pound finally made a major breakthrough today against the U.S. dollar (FXB). This surge takes GBP/USD takes the currency pair right into the teeth of resistance from declining 50 and 200-day moving averages. Source: FreeStockCharts.com I think this resistance will … Read more
On May 18th, I wrote that Amazon.com (AMZN) had triggered a post-earnings short by closing below the low of trading in the immediate aftermath of the last earnings report (at $220). However, I did not recommend pulling the trigger because the market was oversold at the time. Surprisingly, AMZN did not benefit from the market’s … Read more
When Shutterfly (SFLY) reported earnings on April 30th, the company provided guidance for a larger Q2 loss than analyst expectations. Despite this disappointment, the stock opened the next day with an amazing 9% gain. Unfortunately, trading has been all downhill from there. SFLY closed the day losing all its gains, and it was even trading … Read more
After reporting earnings on the evening of April 24, Baidu (BIDU) dropped 10% or so in after-hours trading. By the time time trading opened the next day that loss was cut to just 4.5%. At the highs of that day, BIDU actually managed to recover all its post-earnings losses. I typically characterize such a recovery … Read more
Two weeks ago, Yelp.com (YELP) confirmed its blow-off top with a break of critical support (see “Chart Review: Yelp.com Confirms Blow-Off Top With A Break Of Support“). That support immediately turned into resistance. After dropping close to post-IPO lows, YELP bounced, only to stop cold at resistance. After reporting earnings, YELP dropped 12% directly from … Read more
Yelp.com (YELP) is barely a month old as a publicly traded company, but it is already printing a fascinating stock chart. YELP’s IPO was priced at $15, but it opened for trading on March 2nd, 2012 at $22. That day, the stock went as high as $26 before settling at $24.58. After dropping 15% the … Read more
The last time Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) failed a retest of all-time highs was in the middle of 2008. The stock broke down in June and it was mostly downhill from there for another year. On Tuesday, March 6th, Caterpillar confirmed another failed retest of an all-time high by breaking down below its 50DMA. Source of … Read more
February 15 was a day noted around the world: Apple (AAPL) made a major bearish reversal that even non-technicians could appreciate for its fury. Here is the chart I produced on that fateful day: The tremendous surge in trading volume was a 13-month high and followed the S&P 500 down for the day – adding … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 18, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On February 10, I rushed to create a short-term bearish setup on Google (GOOG) based on the sudden surge in volatility. I concluded that if the volatility gains anticipated stock losses … Read more