ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Market rotation is improving participation, but a fresh warning from market breadth keeps me cautious. Small caps and defensives are attracting capital while tech weakness quietly undermines leadership. I remain neutral after AT50 reversed from overbought levels, issuing a fresh warning despite bullish index trends. The disconnect between strong indices and … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Small cap stocks led a market breadth breakout, then faded just short of overbought, leaving me encouraged by momentum but wary of a near-term pullback. The S&P 500 ground to fresh highs, while the NASDAQ lagged by stalling at prior peaks. A clean breakout still awaits for the NASDAQ. CES-driven leadership … Read more
The year 2026 is off to a fast start. After immediately testing my shopping list for the year on software stocks, and Intel Corporation (INTC), headlines from NVIDIA (NVDA) at the Las Vegas Consumer Electronics Show (CES) pressed my positioning in AI-related stocks. CEO Jensen Huang declared (emphasis mine): “The power of Vera Rubin is … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary I summarize what I want to buy in 2026 using core narratives, market breadth and technical analysis. Key themes include commodities, rare earths, biotech, AI exposure, IPOs, beaten-down software stocks, and homebuilders. Market breadth remains cautious in the short term but supportive for longer-term positioning. Major stock indices are testing or … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Late-week buying pressure restored optimism, keeping markets positioned to end the year positively despite unresolved technical risks. Major indices defended key moving averages, while small caps and consumer stocks showed improving relative strength. Market breadth remains uneven, but longer-term indicators continue to support the potential to end the year positively. Leadership … Read more