ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
While writing about the attractive price of Pan American Silver (PAAS) and the seemingly imminent breakoout for silver (SLV), I neglected to note that SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has already broken out from its extended downtrend. This move is of course inspired by Ben Bernanke’s Jackson Hole speech. At the same time the market anticipates … Read more
The stocks market’s slow action hides all sorts of dramatic action in individual stocks. For this chart review, I take a look at a range of performers. Google (GOOG) has broken out to fresh five-year highs. First Solar (FSLR) has more than doubled since its June lows. Baidu (BIDU) has sold off for over a … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 27, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After three months bouncing up and down in a wide range, the British pound (FXB) is finally breaking out against the U.S. dollar (UUP). This follows a very uneventful Summer Olympics … Read more
As the stock market gains new momentum, interesting charts are bound to appear everywhere. Priceline.com (PCLN) and Baidu (BIDU) are two of many with interesting post-earnings patterns. I covered the post-earnings set-up on priceline.com (PCLN) on August 11th (see “Priceline Not Likely to Recover Post-Earnings Losses In the Near-Term“). PCLN never closed below the critical … Read more
Wednesday was a rough day for priceline.com (PCLN). The company significantly pulled back current quarter revenue and earnings guidance based on expectations for poor performance in Europe. Europe represents 60% of PCLN’s revenues. It is a wonder that Europe is only just now dragging down results. In fact, PCLN spent almost three months of this … Read more
The recovery from the post-earnings dip in July is officially complete for Apple (AAPL). On Monday, August 6th, AAPL broke out from a short trading range defined at the bottom by the psychologically important $600 level and at the top by the April post-earnings high. This breakout symbolizes the neutralization of whatever worries prevented buyers … Read more
The Australian dollar is now at 4-month highs versus the U.S. dollar (FXA). In what now looks like a clean breakout, the AUD/USD currency pair has hurdled over the latest resistance level which was the April high. Source: FreeStockCharts.com While I continue to believe the Australian dollar has a big sell-off ahead of it once … Read more
(This is an addendum to the last T2108 Update that presented the case for an imminent, extended, overbought rally for the S&P 500). On Friday, July 27, the S&P 500 broke out in a rally that continues in grinding fashion from the June lows. In parallel, the Australian dollar (FXA) has also rallied from its … Read more
On July 23, Starbucks (SBUX) tested its 200-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since last October. This support held as the general stock market rallied into the close. This level also happened to coincide with SBUX’s breakout in March as SBUX moved on to fresh all-time highs. Source: FreeStockCharts.com If SBUX fails to … Read more