Being Oversold Is Reason Enough for Buying the Stock Market – Above the 40 (March 4, 2020)

AT40 = 17.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (6th oversold day)AT200 = 32.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 32.0Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary Was it a delayed response to the emergency rate cut from the Federal Reserve? Was it the big comeback by … Read more

An Oversold Stock Market Stakes A Claim On A Bottom – Above the 40 (March 2, 2020)

The S&P 500 (SPY) jumped 4.6% and sliced right through 200DMA resistance.

AT40 = 11.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 29.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 33.4Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary On a day of incredible moves, I was most surprised that the stock market gave traders a chance to get in on the … Read more

A Love Note to the Stock Market – Above the 40 (February 14, 2020)

AT40 = 53.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.7Short-term Trading Call: bearish Stock Market Commentary It just got tougher to stick to my recent bearish short-term trading call on the stock market. On Friday, news went … Read more

A Sharp Market Rebound, Too Many Stocks Left Behind – Above the 40 (February 7, 2020)

AT40 = 47.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 54.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.5Short-term Trading Call: bearish (from cautiously bearish) Stock Market Commentary The major indices managed to swing to all-time highs last week, but I still see signs of a … Read more

Animal Spirits Rediscover Housing-Related Stocks

The iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Index Fund ETF (ITB) is on a rare 6-day winning streak after confirming 50DMA support.

In recent weeks, the trade in the stocks of home builders provided timely reminders in the limited meaning in price action. The market periodically makes key “mistakes” that provide buying (or selling) opportunities. A Fresh Turning Point At the end of December, I described a “precarious divergence” between the stocks of home builders and the … Read more