Tech Leaves Behind A Stock Market Back in Oversold Conditions – Above the 40 (April 13, 2020)

AT40 = 19.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #1)AT200 = 9.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 41.2Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary It lasted just a day. The market’s historic oversold period lasted 31 days and ended with a flurry. This … Read more

Culture of Collapse: Air Travel’s Disappearance In One Chart

Since companies began restricting business travel over precautions with the coronavirus pandemic, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) provided data on screenings at U.S. airports. These data say a lot about the disappearance of air travel in the U.S. Almost every screening represents a passenger on a flight. The TSA provides a year-over-year comparison, normalized to … Read more

A Stock Market Hunkered Down After Green Shoots Slam Into New Downtrend – Above the 40 (April 3, 2020)

AT40 = 4.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (28th oversold day)AT200 = 5.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 46.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary First, another dose of hope and a light reminder of the seriousness of … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Remains Well-Supported Despite A Month of Wild Swings

When the stock market sell-off began in earnest in late February, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) surprisingly plunged along with the major indices. I accepted the narrative explaining that the dollar’s decline came from the euro’s gain as “risk-off” traders rushed to close out euro shorts in carry trades. The swiftness of the risk-off move … Read more

ShotSpotter Stock Moves Wildly After Small Drop In Revenue Guidance

On March 16th, ShotSpotter (SSTI) released earnings guidance with a press release titled “ShotSpotter Responds to the Covid-19 Challenge” and the sub-title “Company Initiates Resiliency Plan to Maintain Gunshot Detection Services With a Remote and Distributed Incident Review Center.” After providing details on the emergency actions the company is taking in response to protecting the … Read more