A Two-Speed Stock Market Downshifts Into A Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (July 10, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 43.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (hit a 2 1/2 – month low the previous day at 34.9%)AT200 = 26.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary A strange and two-speed market got even … Read more

A Stock Market On Edge – Above the 40 (June 26, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 40.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 20.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 34.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary After a one-day respite, the damage in the stock market continued. This time, the damage was more … Read more

Soliton: How to Trade A Secondary Stock Offering

Last week, I anticipated that Soliton would announce a secondary offering of stock following the release of a successful trial of its cellulite treatment. Soliton (SOLY) delivered with after hours news of a secondary stock offering in the form of an SEC filing. So now what? The Trade Rules At the time of writing, traders … Read more

A Trampling at the Frontlines of the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 24, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 21.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 33.8Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The damage in the stock market is only visible upon close examination. The top technicals for the … Read more

Soliton: What Awaits the Stock After News on Cellulite Trial

“The Company’s cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash on hand is sufficient to fund the Company’s operations into December 2020 but not beyond.” This quote from the May 14 earnings report from Soliton (SOLY) is tattooed in my mind as I consider the implications of the company’s recent good news on cellulite treatment. On June … Read more

Stock Market Churn Continues As Volatility Resumes Its Decline – Above the 40 (April 24, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 45.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 12.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 35.9Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Last week started on an ominous note with more historic plunges in oil prices. The stock market managed … Read more

Stock Market Strengthens Breakaway from Oversold Periods – Above the 40 (April 17, 2020)

AT40 = 34.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 12.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 38.2Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Ever since the S&P 500 (SPY) bearishly broke down below its 50-day moving average (DMA) on February 24th, AT40 (T2108), the … Read more

Green Shoots for A Grinding and Historic Oversold Period – Above the 40 (March 20, 2020)

AT40 = 2.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (18th oversold day)AT200 = 2.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 66.0Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The bear market grinds on. At the time of writing, U.S. stock market futures … Read more

A Sharp Market Rebound, Too Many Stocks Left Behind – Above the 40 (February 7, 2020)

AT40 = 47.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 54.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.5Short-term Trading Call: bearish (from cautiously bearish) Stock Market Commentary The major indices managed to swing to all-time highs last week, but I still see signs of a … Read more

A Failed Healing: Stock Market Further Confirms Topping Patterns – Above the 40 (January 31, 2020)

AT40 = 38.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Last week, I switched from neutral for the first time in, I believe, months. I downgraded to “cautiously bearish” because … Read more