T2108 Update (December 1, 2014) – From Topping To Chopping and An Apple “Flash Dip”

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (November 28, 2014) – A Potentially Bearish Retreat from Overbought Conditions As Commodities Swim A Sea Of Red

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Providing Some Historical Perspective On Another Sharp Stock Market Rally

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 26, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) As expected for this November, the S&P 500 (SPY) has continued a string of closes at fresh all-time highs. While the index is only about 2.8% above its all-time high preceding … Read more

Another Chocolate Scare – This Time Contrasting with Cocoa Price Action

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 24, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Nine months ago I wrote a piece describing the investment/trading opportunity in cocoa with a focus on iPath DJ-UBS Cocoa TR Sub-Idx ETN (NIB); iPath Pure Beta Cocoa ETN (CHOC) has … Read more

A Good Time for Adjusting the Bearish Trading Strategy on the Japanese Yen

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 23, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Ironically, this situation was essentially manufactured by these same authorities, but sure enough the first attempts to rein in the runaway train have appeared. Almost right on schedule, Japanese Finance … Read more

A Trader’s Perspective on Switzerland’s “Save Our Swiss Gold” Referendum

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The euro (FXE) versus the Swiss franc (FXF) currency pair has dropped steadily all year on its way to a rendezvous against the 1.20 floor: Since the end of the financial … Read more

A Minor Intervention Scare for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 13, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On November 13th (in the morning in Australia), Christopher Kent, an Assistant Governor at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), delivered a speech discussing business cycles in Australia. The big news … Read more

How to Trade Growing Pressures On Herbalife’s Stock

$HLF catching my interest again as it rides into 50DMA resistance on heels of insider buying news. Shorts and put/call ratio at major highs — Dr. Duru (@DrDuru) November 26, 2014 Here are the follow-up details on this tweet from Wednesday, November 26th, 2014. Herbalife (HLF) has experienced a strong rally from recent lows. The … Read more

The Squeeze On Renters And Implications for the Housing Market

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 7, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) I tracked down an article posted in Boston.com called “Renters Suffer as Evictions Surge in U.S.” after hearing the topic referenced in a recent Slate Money podcast. One of the guests … Read more