Above the 40 (October 13, 2017) – Stock Market Lift-Off Turns Into Drift

AT40 = 72.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – overbought day #12 AT200 = 60.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.6 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary A week ago I described “lift-off” for an extended overbought period for the stock market. However, the market … Read more

Above the 40 (October 6, 2017) – Stock Market Lift-Off

AT40 = 73.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – overbought day #7 AT200 = 59.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.7 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary This is what a lift-off for an extended overbought rally looks like. The S&P 500 (SPY) followed its … Read more

Above the 40 (September 29, 2017) – Stock Market Powers Up for A Potential Overbought Rally

AT40 = 71.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – overbought day #2 AT200 = 58.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.5 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary It looks like an overbought rally is truly underway. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks closing above their … Read more

Above the 40 (September 15, 2017) – Another Missile, Another All-Time High for the S&P 500

AT40 = 60.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.2 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary North Korea launched another ballistic missile over Japan, this one with enough range to hit Guam. The general market response was … Read more

Above the 40 (July 14, 2017) – S&P 500 Hits All-Time High Alongside Historic Volatility

AT40 = 63.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.5 (volatility index) (since 1990, only TWO days have been lower, both in December, 1993!) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The volatility index, the VIX, closed at … Read more

Above the 40 (July 13, 2017) – The S&P 500 Shows Off Again

AT40 = 59.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.9 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market continued its healing process from its last bout of mild indigestion. Most impressive is the S&P 500 … Read more

Above the 40 (July 3, 2017) – Another Bullish Rotation Out of Tech Stocks

AT40 = 65.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 60.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary During the big June 9th swoon in tech stocks, I was surprised to observe how well the stock market … Read more

Above the 40 (June 23, 2017) – The S&P 500 Watches the NASDAQ Position for A Recovery

AT40 = 54.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary Last week, the NASDAQ snatched the baton from the S&P 500 (SPY) and now looks poised to resume its … Read more

Above the 40 (June 16, 2017) – A Post-Fed Market Still In Bullish Position

AT40 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The Federal Reserve gave the permission to the stock market that I awaited…well, sort of. On Wednesday, June 14, … Read more

Above the 40 (June 9, 2017) – A Surprisingly Bullish Rotation Out of Tech Stocks

AT40 = 58.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.7 (volatility index) (intraday high of 12.11) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary It seemed poetic. The Golden State Warriors, hailing from the tech heavy San Francisco Bay … Read more