The Tariff Tainted Oversold Period Finally Ends! – The Market Breadth

the tariff tainted oversold period finally ends

Stock Market Commentary Big news: the oversold period is officially OVER. This tariff tainted oversold period was lasted a historical 12 trading days. Several catalysts emerged during and after market hours to support a narrative of a sustained bottom, including: While the length of the oversold period confirms bear market trading, these developments suggest the … Read more

A Tariff Blink, An Oversold Market Rejoices – The Market Breadth

A Blink on Tariffs, An Oversold Market Rejoices

Stock Market Commentary There are not enough superlatives in the dictionary to describe what happened today. We have borne witness to a multi-day, multi-week saga of economic warfare, tariff chaos, a rolling stock market crash – and now, an historic oversold bounce. President Trump has gone from tariffs, to tariff flexibility, to tariff reciprocity to … Read more

Tariff Crash Trading Plan: Chaos Edition – The Market Breadth

tariff crash trading plan - chaos edition

Stock Market Commentary The stock market fell into chaos all over again as the U.S. retaliated against China’s tariff retaliation, hiking tariffs up to 104%. This escalation halted a rally that started as solid follow-through from the bullish engulfing bottom from the previous trading day. The whipsaw action underscored the fragility of technical setups in … Read more

From the Government to the Markets: Grin and Bear It

From the Government to the Markets - Grin and Bear It

A Flashback On September 29, 2008, a nervous and weak stock market anxiously awaited the outcome of a Congressional vote on a $700B Wall Street bailout package known as TARP (the Troubled Asset Relief Program) as part of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. According to briefing.com, the S&P 500 (SPY) was down about … Read more

A Rolling Crash Deepens Oversold Conditions to New Extremes – The Market Breadth

A Rolling Crash Deepens Oversold Conditions to New Extremes

Stock Market Commentary A good friend of mine introduced me to the phrase – now we’re cooking with gas! In today’s context, this phrase refers to some startling developments in the rolling crash in the stock market. The technical damage was thorough, unrelenting, and nearly merciless. Chaos in economic policy chaos has fully transferred into … Read more

Time for A Tariff Crash Trading Plan – The Market Breadth

Time for A Tariff Crash Trading Plan

Stock Market Commentary The stock market suffered experienced a jarring selloff during the announcement of reciprocal tariffs from President Trump, a move that, despite ample telegraphing, shocked both investors and global trade partners. The Futures dropped sharply, with even oil down 2.4% and the S&P 500 plunging as much as 3% after-hours. This tariff crash … Read more

Tariff Flexibility Countdown Underway – The Market Breadth

tariff flexibility (Credit: J. Mark Bertrand, https://www.flickr.com/photos/24906199@N00/2947844344)

Stock Market Commentary The market delivered a contradictory signal to end the week. For example, while swingtradebot flashed very bullish technical indicators, market breadth declined the last two days of the week. This divergence is symbolic of the swirling tensions in the air. After, the three-week sell-off into a bear market took advantage of rising … Read more

Reality Bites Rotten Eggs – The Market Breadth

Reality Bites Rotten Eggs - The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary Reality bites. And right now those bites are clamping down on rotten eggs in the form of a swift repricing of risk. Once high priced eggs are now eggs few shoppers want. Last week’s theme of bring the pain continued in force at this week’s open: more economic uncertainty, more economic fears, … Read more

Growth Scare or Overreaction – An Oversold Market or Something Worse?

Will deregulation and tax cuts far outweigh the economic damage of broad-based and global tariffs, chaos in the Federal government, and an assortment of other economic and policy uncertainties? This question rides high on the minds of traders and investors. Where you fall on this question might determine how worried you are about the current … Read more

Economic Warfare With the U.S.: Canada Braces for A Painful Structural Adjustment

Economic Warfare With the U.S.: Canada Braces for A Painful Structural Adjustment

In “Tariffs, structural change and monetary policy“, Bank of Canada governor Tim Macklem examined the potential fallout from economic warfare with the U.S. through tariffs. Macklem provided a dire outlook for the Canadian economy while at the same time sounding an optimistic tone for the potential of monetary policy to both prevent lasting inflationary impacts … Read more