T2108 Update (August 10, 2012) – Promise Versus Peril In This Overbought Market

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 74.5% (sixth day of … Read more

T2108 Update (August 7, 2012) – Critical Juncture: Overbought, 2012 Highs, and the Australian Dollar

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 76.4% (third day of … Read more

A 5% Decline In The S&P 500 Within Three Months Would Be A “Gift”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) A month ago I explained how the three months leading into a U.S. Presidential election featuring an incumbent tend to represent a bullish period (see “The Positive Trade When Incumbent Presidents … Read more

T2108 Update (August 3, 2012) – Incipient Rally Strengthens, Raising the Bar On Bearish Trades

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 71.8% (first day of … Read more

The Australian Dollar Confirms the S&P 500 Breakout

(This is an addendum to the last T2108 Update that presented the case for an imminent, extended, overbought rally for the S&P 500). On Friday, July 27, the S&P 500 broke out in a rally that continues in grinding fashion from the June lows. In parallel, the Australian dollar (FXA) has also rallied from its … Read more

T2108 Update (July 27, 2012) – An Overbought Breakout And Signs Of A Sustained Rally

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 73.9% (first day of … Read more

Another Key Bullish Divergence Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) continues to provide fascinating, and profitable, examples of its strong relationship with the S&P 500 (SPY). {snip} On July 23rd, another big sell-off day, the Australian dollar … Read more

T2108 Update (July 26, 2012) – A Bounce….Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 62.5% VIX Status: 17.5 … Read more

T2108 Update (July 24, 2012) – Another Uptrend Breaks

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 50.9% VIX Status: 20.5 … Read more

T2108 Update (July 23, 2012) – Overbought Period Ends But June Uptrend Holds

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 59.9% (ends last overbought … Read more