The Stock Market’s Garden Grows More Weeds In Sell-Off – Above the 40 (September 8, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 42.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 42.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2 1/2 week low)VIX = 31.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary The swift stock market sell-off took a fresh turn for the worse. AT200 … Read more

Stocks Wind Back Up – Above the 40 (July 31, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 35.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Major League Baseball (MLB) may be forced to wind back down, but stocks look like they are winding … Read more

Support for Another Round of Overbought Conditions in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 13, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first overbought day, 17 of last 19 trading days overbought)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 36.1 (down 11.5%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary In the last Above the 40 … Read more

Stock Market Bears Finally Draw A Line In the Sand – Above the 40 (May 12, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) sell through the overbought threshold for the second time in a week.

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 64.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ending 3-day overbought period)AT200 = 15.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 33.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Winners and losers are still becoming ever more distinct in the stock market, but today stock … Read more

Tech Leaves Behind A Stock Market Back in Oversold Conditions – Above the 40 (April 13, 2020)

AT40 = 19.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #1)AT200 = 9.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 41.2Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary It lasted just a day. The market’s historic oversold period lasted 31 days and ended with a flurry. This … Read more

A $2.3 Trillion End to An Extreme Oversold Period in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (April 10, 2020)

AT40 = 24.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 31-day oversold period)AT200 = 10.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 41.7Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary “The Federal Reserve on Thursday took additional actions to provide up to $2.3 trillion in loans to support … Read more

A Broad Market Breakout Reawakens the Green Shoots (Above the 40) – April 6, 2020

AT40 = 7.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (28th oversold day)AT200 = 6.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 45.2Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Today’s dose of hope comes in the form of definitive breakouts. No sooner … Read more

Second Derivative Selling Produces A Stock Market Crash – Above the 40 (March 9, 2020)

AT40 = 4.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (9th oversold day)AT200 = 11.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 54.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The Shake and Bake bottom completely collapsed on Monday in the face of massive second derivative selling. The stock market … Read more

T2108 Update (November 13, 2015) – The S&P 500 Faces A Key Market Test

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (September 25, 2015) – Stock Market Skirts Oversold Conditions As IBB Plunges On Record Volume

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more