Above the 40 (December 10, 2018) – A Bearish Divergence Clouds Encouraging Bounce Away from Oversold

AT40 = 23.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (low of 18.9%)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 32-month low)VIX = 22.6 (as high as 25.9)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish CommentaryIt was a wild day in the stock market, but the market still avoided closing … Read more

Above the 40 (November 23, 2018) – Stock Market Barely Avoids Oversold Conditions

AT40 = 27.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just above a 32-month low) VIX = 21.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Last week on November 20th, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving … Read more

Above the 40 (November 20, 2018) – Not Yet Oversold But Stock Market Makes An Important Low

AT40 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 24.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 32-month low) VIX = 22.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The technical damage continues in the stock market. Amid all the carnage and massive gap downs, I am surprised … Read more

Above the 40 (November 16, 2018) – A Week-Ending Sigh of Relief As Market Avoids Oversold Conditions

AT40 = 34.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 31.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The countdown to “hedge fund d-day” is finally behind the market. via GIPHY So far, the results are encouraging while the market … Read more

Above the 40 (November 14, 2018) – An Apple Breakdown Nudges Stock Market Toward Oversold

AT40 = 29.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 30.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 21.3 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The technical damage in the stock market continues to spread as the countdown to “hedge fund d-day” nears an end. AT40 (T2108), … Read more