Trading Lessons from the Elections In Turkey

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 14, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Turkey held national elections on June 7th. The events were well-covered given Turkey’s central location amid a set of geopolitical hotspots and its (former) place as a fast-growing emerging market. Source: … Read more

Turkish Lira Completes A Post-Election Reversal As Central Bank Waits On Inflation

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 28, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Since I laid out a post-election trading strategy on the Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) two weeks ago, events have gone on a very slow burn. The currency and the stock market have … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Regains Momentum Against the Turkish Lira As Regional Tensions Escalate

The U.S. dollar index (UUP) failed this week (so far) to break out of its short-term downtrend. However, it is picking up momentum against select currencies. One case in point is the Turkish lira (USD/TRY). Source: FreeStockCharts.com Note that the 50-day moving average (DMA) flattened out a bit after the TUrkish elections but it never … Read more

Parabolic Moves in the Ruble, Turkish Lira May Foreshadow the Same for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Currency markets have been rocked with increasingly extreme moves in risk-bearing currencies like the Russian ruble (USD/RUB). Last week, the Russian central bank hiked interest rates from 9.5% to 10.5%. This … Read more

T2108 Update (December 16, 2014) – A Rush to Panic Out of Russia, A Major Reversal In the Oil Patch, And More Breakdowns for U.S. Stocks

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more