Above the 40 (March 22, 2019) – Tension Headache: Dovish Fed Fails to Keep Market Complacent to Risks

AT40 = 45.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2+ month low)AT200 = 38.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 16.5 (20.9% gain)Short-term Trading Call: bearish Stock Market Commentary Friday’s trading action provided delayed confirmation of my short-term bearish trading call. The week previous to the last, … Read more

Above the 40 (December 20, 2018) – Oversold Chronicles: Small-Caps Tumble Toward A Post-Election Reversal

AT40 = 9.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #5, 35-month low!)AT200 = 12.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 34-month low)VIX = 28.4 (10-month high, intraday high at 30.3)Short-term Trading Call: bullish (caveats below!) Commentary The plunge continues. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks … Read more