T2108 Update (January 7, 2014) – Overbought Timelag?

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 3, 2014) – Bullish Divergence; Apple’s Important Retest

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Twitter’s Run-Up Reaching A Likely Crescendo

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Twitter (TWTR) is up 22% so far in this holiday shortened week and up 41% since December 10th when the stock broke out to its first post-IPO high. TWTR has been … Read more

T2108 Update (November 22, 2013) – Yes, The Trend Is Still Up

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Federal Reserve Leaves No Catalyst for A Dollar Breakdown…or Breakout

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 1, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar (UUP) sold off steadily going into Wednesday’s (October 30, 2013) statement from the Federal Reserve on monetary policy. It has been a slow yet relatively steady grind lower … Read more

T2108 Update (October 22, 2013) – Extreme Overbought Conditions Bring Bear/Bull Opportunity

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Time to Watch the Forex Action Unfold: React, Not Anticipate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been a week since the Federal Reserve surprised the globe when it backed off from its earlier tough talk about bond tapering. The U.S. dollar index (UUP) plunged in … Read more

Chart Review: Netflix Potential Topping Action

Netflix (NFLX) has been on a wild ride as sentiment about the company’s business has swung from extremes of optimism to pessimism and back again. I have been keeping a casual eye on the stock for any signs of the next change. Today, September 23, may have delivered that change. On high selling volume, NFLX … Read more

Valuation Update: Internet High-Fliers Experience Large Mark-Ups

Many internet-related stocks have been on fire lately. In many ways, the run-up has been about mobile, so it may not even be technically accurate to call this feature a valuation update on internet-related stocks. Regardless, the most notable change since the last update in mid-June is that the internet high-fliers have experienced significant run-ups … Read more

Chart Review: IBM, SolarCity, Apple, and Google

This chart review includes a follow-up from last week’s chart review of International Business Machines (IBM) and SolarCity (SCTY). International Business Machines (IBM) The potential hammer bottom I identified last week got follow-through, but it was too messy to trade. It took two days for IBM to close at a higher price than the high … Read more