Financials Struggle At All-Time Highs

This post is essentially an addendum to “Resilience Cracks: Market’s Bearish Divergence Ends In Topping Pattern.” Financials in the form of the SPDRS Select Sector Financial ETF (XLF) finally achieved an all-time high last month. XLF jumped on December 12, 2019 and trickled higher to the all-time high from there. Since that point, XLF has … Read more

Resilience Cracks: Market’s Bearish Divergence Ends In Topping Pattern – Above the 40 (January 24, 2020)

AT40 = 52.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 58.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.6Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market finally pushed into overbought territory on Thursday, January 16th. The breakout quickly turned into a bust with AT40 (T2108), … Read more

Animal Spirits Rediscover Housing-Related Stocks

The iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Index Fund ETF (ITB) is on a rare 6-day winning streak after confirming 50DMA support.

In recent weeks, the trade in the stocks of home builders provided timely reminders in the limited meaning in price action. The market periodically makes key “mistakes” that provide buying (or selling) opportunities. A Fresh Turning Point At the end of December, I described a “precarious divergence” between the stocks of home builders and the … Read more

The Stock Market Manages to Stretch Out of Overbought Conditions – Above the 40 (January 17, 2020)

AT40 = 69.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ends 1-day overbought period) AT200 = 63.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market finally pushed into overbought territory on Thursday. The breakout only lasted for a day. … Read more

Forex Critical: Mexican Peso Hits Key Milestone After USMCA Passage

The U.S. Senate approved the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) trade agreement on Thursday, January 16th. That timing may mark a major milestone and turning point for the Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar (USD/MXN). The following day, USD/MXN sliced through the low of 2019 and hit a 17-month low. I have been bullish on the Mexican … Read more