Near Overbought Trading Conditions Raise the Stakes On Stock Breakouts – Above the 40 (April 28, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) has effectively soared in a near parabolic move back to the overbought threshold.

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 69.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) 3+ month highAT200 = 14.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 33.6Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stakes are ever higher. Right alongside confirmations of major breakouts from the major stock indices, AT40 … Read more

Bitcoin Faces New Challenge Near A Reversal of Its March Crash

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has had an interesting – and surprising – relationship with the recent crash in financial markets. Bitcoin fell 39.1% on March 12th just as the crash was accelerating. The S&P 500 (SPY) continued to sell off for another week and a half after Bitcoin crashed. By the time the S&P 500 bottomed Bitcoin … Read more

Stock Market’s New Bear/Bull Battle Lines – Above the 40 (April 22, 2020)

AT40 = 33.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 11.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 42.0Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Crash culture started this week with an astonishing collapse in oil prices. The stock market held on admirably, especially tech stocks. … Read more

Crash Culture – A Warning In Negative Oil Prices – Above the 40 (April 20, 2020)

AT40 = 30.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 11.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 43.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The culture of collapse that has accompanied the coronavirus pandemic reached new lows. The on-going collapse in oil prices reached new … Read more

A $2.3 Trillion End to An Extreme Oversold Period in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (April 10, 2020)

AT40 = 24.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 31-day oversold period)AT200 = 10.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 41.7Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary “The Federal Reserve on Thursday took additional actions to provide up to $2.3 trillion in loans to support … Read more