Stock Market Breaks Out to Overbought Territory Yet Again – Above the 40 (May 18, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 75.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first oversold day)AT200 = 18.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 29.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Buyers followed through on the building momentum from the previous two trading days which drew a line … Read more

Stock Market Buyers Counter Sellers With Their Own Line in the Sand – Above the 40 (May 15, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 14.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 31.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The week began with sellers finally drawing a line in the sand. The week ended with a counter from … Read more

Housing Downturn: Optimism Races Ahead of the Data – Housing Market Review (April, 2020)

The iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Index (ITB) gained 4.2% and closed at a 2-month high.

Housing Market Intro and Summary Something surprising is happening in the middle of the current downturn in the housing market: buyers keep coming and home builders are staying resilient and resolute. A series of earnings reports from publicly traded home builders do not reflect the historic plunge in builder sentiment from April (see below). The … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Deeply Into Overbought Trading Conditions – Above the 40 (May 8, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought day #2)AT200 = 16.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Winners and losers are becoming more and more distinct in the stock market. While skeptics and bears … Read more

LGI Homes: Strong Guidance Builds Hope Against the Housing Downturn

“Despite the challenging environment we encountered at the end of the first quarter, our business was stronger in April than we had originally expected and we are seeing positive momentum in recent sales trends that leads us to believe the impact from the COVID-19 pandemic may be less severe than we had originally expected. We … Read more