Above the 40 (October 23, 2018) – A Classic Oversold Bounce Leaves Behind Critical Breakdowns

AT40 = 13.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 5th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period (as low as 10.6%) AT200 = 30.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (as low as 26.7%) VIX = 20.7 (as high as 24.7) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary … Read more

Above the 40 (October 18, 2018) – A Second Oversold Period Gives 200DMAs A Fresh Challenge

AT40 = 15.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 2nd day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period AT200 = 33.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up 6 percentage points) VIX = 20.1 (15% increase) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The 200-day moving averages (DMAs) still … Read more

Above the 40DMA (October 16, 2018) – Critical Stock Market 200DMAs Pass the Oversold Test

AT40 = 20.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – ended a 4-day oversold period AT200 = 39.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up 6 percentage points) VIX = 17.6 (drop of 17.3%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The average oversold period lasts 5 days. The latest … Read more

Above the 40 (October 12, 2018) – Confidence and A Conditional Reprieve Amid Oversold Lows

AT40 = 11.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (hit an intraday low of 9.4%, oversold day #3) AT200 = 32.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (intraday low of 30.0%) VIX = 21.3 (a decrease of 14.7%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary AT40 (T2108), the percentage of … Read more

Above the 40 (October 10, 2018) – The Stock Market Cascades Down to Oversold Territory

AT40 = 16.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (a drop of 14.2 percentage points to an 8-month low and the first day of an oversold period) AT200 = 38.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (a drop of 7.6 percentage points to a 6-month low) VIX = … Read more