ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Analysis Summary Market liquidity fears intensified across equities and crypto as market breadth continued to deteriorate. The major stock market indices confirmed bearish technical breakdowns. Major AI and tech stocks confirmed weakening momentum. The week ended with a relief rally after rate-cut expectations surged with Fed Governor Williams teasing a possible December easing. … Read more
Stock Market Commentary I am seeing more and more cracks widening in the stock market, and I am getting increasingly concerned. I am trying to stay bullish because the seasonally strong period has started for the stock market. However, after such a strong August, strong September, and strong October, each of which is historically one … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market started the week in familiar melt-up mode, supported by a (temporary) thaw in the economic war between the U.S. and China. Optimism persisted until the Federal Reserve weighed in with its latest announcement on monetary policy, when Chair Jerome Powell balked at the idea of a December rate cut. … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Last week’s trading had something for almost everyone: volatility, churn, recovery, and a bank scare. A familiar story about renewed U.S.–China trade tensions expanded into a larger mosaic of market stress and resilience. Still, given market breadth remains broken, I see a market skating on the edge. The volatility index (VIX) summarizes … Read more
Exactly one month ago, I explained I would stick with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) despite disappointing weakness in shares. I looked through the short-term bearish signal of a technical breakdown (below the 50-day moving average (DMA)) and pinned my expectations on AMD continuing to catchup with a red hot, AI-driven semiconductor industry. When AMD soared … Read more