ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Apple October post-earnings reaction played out amazingly close to the roadmap I provided in “Apple Earnings Technical Review – October, 2013 Edition“…except there were a lot more squiggles between points A and B than I anticipated…and my execution could have better. In this post, I review the action and recount lessons learned. First, a … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Homebuilders KB Home (KBH) and Lennar Corp. (LEN) both reported earnings on September 24th. I believe these were the first earnings reports for homebuilders after the Federal Reserve backed down from … Read more
It is that time again – Apple (AAPL) announces its latest earnings on October 28th. This post is another edition of my pre-earnings technical analyses that examines historical data to project the outcome for trading the day following earnings. The short story is that while I remain convinced that AAPL has turned bullish again, the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 23, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have followed Lender Processing Services (LPS) for what seems like a very long time, a near lone voice on Seeking Alpha banging the table for LPS as a recovery play … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) TRI Pointe Homes (TPH) reported very strong earnings for the second quarter of 2013. {snip} Year-over-year results were strong, and TPH raised guidance for the year. {snip} Based on strong demand, … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In September of last year, Toll Brothers (TOL) printed a near 7-year high. It was the culmination of an amazing 12-month run that took the stock up 164% from a retest … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 9, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In November of last year, I identified M.D.C Holdings, Inc (MDC) as my second favorite pick for homebuilders for 2013. The main attraction was the sharp drop in short interest in … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Amazon.com’s (AMZN) last three earnings cycles were quite challenging for the AMZN post-earnings trade. As a reminder, the AMZN post-earnings strategy is simply to buy the post-earnings open and hold for … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
Baidu (BIDU) A little over a month ago I advised that traders watch the volume on Baidu (BIDU). I showed the history of false breakouts and of breakdowns on high volume. The bad news is that June’s breakout redux failed and led to false hopes once again that BIDU could finally end its 2-year slide. … Read more